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Are you ready for some Football!!!!!

 

 

Super Bowl Mania is here! At KDub Sports we're getting ready for the big game, and want you to enjoy the Big Game with our My Sports Picks app in your hand. So much so, that this week we have a special offer for you. Purchase either the NFL or the NBA and we will give you a YEAR of parlay tracking for free. (a $20 value). Just purchase either the NFL or the NBA and respond to this email with your SB prediction to redeem your free year.

 

 

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If you need a little help with your pick, we've teamed up with Joe Gavazzi from Winning Sports Advice, and he's giving us his Super Bowl Breakdown here:

 

 

 

Sunday, February 5, 2012

SUPERBOWL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

New York Giants vs New England (-3) (55) 6:30PM

Much has been written about the Super Bowl battle between these two in 2007. The spread approached double digits and a New York Giants team with great momentum recorded a 17-14 victory. Of greater interest for our purposes, however, is their November 6th meeting in New England. The game was scoreless in the first half. But there was plenty of excitement after halftime. In a fourth quarter in which 41 points were scored, with three TDs in the last three minutes, the Giants emerged with a 24-20 victory as 9 point underdog.

 

 

That was the last time NE would lose…They enter the Super Bowl with 10 consecutive victories. That is five more than the red hot Giants have recorded, and a solid indicator of Super Bowl success. Seven of those 10 victories have been by 7 or more points. Eight of those wins have seen the Patriots top 30 points, while in three of the last five games they have put 41 or more on the board. A closer look at that schedule concludes it was not exactly a murderer’s row of opponents. Nonetheless we must give the NE offense its due. QB Brady threw for over 5,000 yards with a 32/12 ratio. They often push the pace with a no-huddle offense, using two TEs. A major blow to that attack would come if TE Gronkowski was unable to make post due to his high ankle sprain. The OL was solid all year, the running game was serviceable, and the passing game explosive. But, oh, that defense. With a makeshift secondary it was a major challenge for HC Belichick and his defensive expertise. They finished near the bottom of the league in both pass defense and total defense. They were often burned by the big play. But in typical NE fashion, it was a bend but don’t break unit. Their 19.0 defensive YP point was among the best in the league, as they allowed an average of just 21 PPG. They concluded the season with 21 INTs, leading to a +14 net TO margin, which included a -3 ratio in the playoffs.

 

While the defense may continue to have problems slowing down the big play receivers of the Giants, it must be noted that against the quality defenses that NE faced, including Dallas, Pittsburgh, Baltimore and NY, they could average just 20 PPG. THE TRUTH IS, THAT ALTHOUGH NE RECORDED A 15-3 SU RECORD, THEIR ONLY VICTORY OF THE SEASON AGAINST A TEAM WHO FINSIHED THE REGULAR SEASON GREATER THAN .500, WAS AGAINT BALTIMORE TWO WEEKS AGO. A CONTEST IN WHICH THEY WERE BOTH OUTRUSHED AND OUTPASSED. Now that it is a one game season, however, do you really want to discount the chances of the Brady-Belichick tandem?

 

 

A look at the New York Giants finds it to be a tale of two seasons. Until five games ago, they were struggling with the worst running game in the NFL who averaged just 89/3.5 for the season. And the defense was certainly taking its lumps for the year, it was a NE-like 376 defensive yards, 5.9 YP play and 25 PPG. They battled key injuries the entire season. But a return to health has seen the G-men enter this game on a 5-0 SUATS run. They defeated the Jets, the Cowboys, and the Falcons, all on their home field, to get the right to play at defending champion Green Bay. Their victories in those contests were by 15, 17, 22, and 17 points. They followed it up with a three point win at San Fran for their spot in the Super Bowl. Their now healthy defense allowed just 13 PPG in those wins.

 

 

Now they enter this Super Bowl in their preferred underdog role again. Under QB Manning, the Giants are now 6-1 SU, 7-0 ATS on the road in playoff games. These wins came all as underdog, a role in which the G-men stand 7-2 ATS this season. The offense is led by QB Manning, who passed for just shy of 5,000 yards and tossed 29 TD passes. He has a receiving corps who should thrive on deep routes against the suspect NE defense. Though they were outrushed by the Niners 150-85, there is no question that the improved health of their runners Bradshaw and Jacobs, lead a far improved infantry attack.

 

The team with the greatest late season momentum is often a key indicator of Super Bowl success. Though NE enters on a 10-game win streak, it is arguably more impressive that the Giants enter on a 5-0 SUATS run against the tougher schedule. On the basis of that momentum, it would normally be a very easy call to back the Giants in their highly successful underdog role. But do you really want to fade the NE pedigree in a Championship game?

 

 

GL

 

Joe Gavazzi Winning Sports Advice

 

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Happy Betting Fans, enjoy the game. And go Pats!

 

PS This will be our last email till next football season.

 

Howard Wizwer

Chief betting Officer

www.kdubsports.com